Singapore’s Million-Dollar HDB Phenomenon: Why 2025 Rewrote the Resale Playbook

Singapore’s Million-Dollar HDB Phenomenon: Why 2025 Rewrote the Resale Playbook

Million-dollar HDB resale flats are no longer headline anomalies — they have become a defining feature of Singapore’s resale market in 2025.

Based on HDB transaction data as of 18 December 2025, a total of 1,544 resale flats have already crossed the $1 million threshold, decisively surpassing 2024’s 1,035 units. Analysts expect the final tally to reach around 1,550 units, marking a sharp year-on-year jump of roughly 50%.

Yet, beneath the record-breaking numbers lies a more nuanced story of buyer resistance, location-driven demand, and structural shifts in the public housing market.


Record Prices, But Buyers Are Holding the Line

The highest-priced HDB resale flat in 2025 was a five-room unit at SkyTerrace @ Dawson in Queenstown.

  • Size: 1,313 sq ft
  • Price: $1.659 million
  • Unit rate: $1,263 psf
  • Remaining lease: ~90 years

While this set a new official benchmark on HDB’s database, it still fell short of the $1.73 million deal achieved by a larger unit at nearby Skyoasis @ Dawson in 2024.

Interestingly, despite these eye-catching transactions, the average price of million-dollar flats in 2025 was about $1.14 million, only 1.8% higher than last year. This suggests most deals clustered near the entry level of the million-dollar range — pointing to price sensitivity among buyers, even at the top end.


📊 Infographic: What’s Driving Million-Dollar HDB Sales in 2025

🏙️ Location Is King

  • Over 90% of deals occurred in mature estates
  • Strong concentration in central and city-fringe towns

🕰️ Newer Leases Matter

  • Majority have lease commencement between 2011–2016
  • Remaining tenure of 85–90 years boosts financing flexibility

📐 Size & Rarity Still Command Premiums

  • Executive maisonettes in Bishan crossed $1.6M despite ~60-year leases
  • Larger layouts remain highly sought after

🏢 Town Leaders by Volume

  • Toa Payoh: 296 deals
  • Bukit Merah: 209
  • Queenstown: 165
  • Kallang/Whampoa: 144
  • Clementi: 100

🏠 Most Popular Flat Types

  • 4-room: 646 units (+70% y-o-y)
  • 5-room: 536 units (+37% y-o-y)
  • Executive flats: 357 units (+41% y-o-y)

Central, Newer, and Unrestricted: A Clear Buyer Preference

Among the top 10 most expensive resale flats in 2025, nearly all were:

  • Located in central areas such as The Pinnacle @ Duxton, Bishan, and Queenstown
  • Relatively young flats, aged 15 years or under

The Pinnacle @ Duxton alone accounted for four of the top ten deals, underlining the premium buyers place on iconic locations and skyline living.

Another key factor is policy-driven. Under the Prime, Plus, and Standard (PPS) flat framework introduced in October 2024, Prime and Plus BTO flats face:

  • 10-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP)
  • Subsidy clawbacks upon resale

As a result, some buyers are turning to newer resale flats instead — enjoying central locations without future resale restrictions.


What 2026 Could Bring: More Supply, More Million-Dollar Deals?

Looking ahead, the resale market is set to see a significant supply boost:

  • 13,484 flats will fulfil their MOP in 2026, up from ~8,000 in 2025
  • Over 60% of these are in mature estates, the highest level in more than a decade

Key towns to watch:

  • Queenstown: 2,409 flats
  • Tampines: 2,133
  • Toa Payoh: 1,594
  • Bedok: 1,440
  • Punggol: 3,222 (highest overall)

With more newer flats entering the resale pool, analysts expect 1,400 to 1,800 million-dollar resale deals in 2026 — suggesting this trend is far from peaking.


✅ Key Takeaways (Summary Highlights)

✅ 2025 recorded over 1,500 million-dollar HDB resale deals, a new all-time high
✅ Buyers prioritise central locations, newer leases, and resale flexibility
✅ Price growth remains modest, signalling buyer resistance at higher levels
✅ Mature estates dominate, but Punggol may emerge as the next hotspot
✅ 2026 supply surge could sustain high-value resale activity


Thinking of Buying or Selling a High-Value HDB?

Whether you’re considering upgrading, right-sizing, or assessing whether your flat has crossed the million-dollar threshold, understanding timing and positioning is critical.

Feel free to reach out if you’d like:

  • A realistic valuation of your flat
  • Advice on which towns and flat types buyers are actively chasing
  • A comparison between resale versus new launch options

A quick conversation could save you months of uncertainty.


(source)

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